Growth Diagnostics
Whoever the president is, we will face the same challenge, namely how to get out of the middle-income country trap. Therefore, strategies, policies and work programs need to be sustainable.
Last weekend, Statistics Indonesia (BPS) announced that the country’s economy grew 5.03 percent in the first quarter of 2023, higher than many economic observers’ estimates of 4.5-4.8 percent. Even though it was higher than expected, some questioned why economic growth could not be higher than around 5 percent. To get out of the middle-income trap, growth of at least 7 percent is needed in the years to come.
In the midst of a global situation of low growth or “slowbalization”, 5 percent growth is quite good. The problem is, good is not enough. A leap is needed so that Indonesia can become a developed country and the people's welfare can improve in time.